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Hope the Holidays were good for everyone and thanks for tuning in every week as we are close to finishing off the year with the 22nd newsletter.

Opinion on Markets: Crypto traders obviously frustrated seeing everything but their coins going up. Although crypto did have a bigger rally during the year the fact that most are now showing YTD is causing a lot of frustration and capitulation with traders. There’s a lot of hype and euphoria with precious metals which is sucking some liquidity out of other markets. We will see how long this hype lasts and the big thing to watch for is to see where the money rotates too. If crypto can show a rebound as precious metals pull back that’d be a great sign, but if that money goes back to stocks it could be a slow 2026.

Basically a whole week of chop and finishing Sunday off right about where we were last week.

Prediction: Still leaving the squiggles on the chart but a break of the diagonal with upward momentum would probably mean we avoided the sweep of those lows. But if we just break through the diagonal with horizontal price action I’m still going to prepare for sub $80k. The good news is that a new year can suddenly make every metric like the monthly candle green, weekly green, and yearly green. Sometimes that’s all it takes to move a market.

Finishing the week off with chop not much lower than what price was last Sunday.

Prediction: We probably have another week of chop but mentally with the start of a new year we could see some excitement again. Just being able to say the words, $ETH is up 5% this year already is enough to add a little fuel. Obviously if we just continue to chop for a few more weeks and other markets keep pumping it’s going to be a lot harder to spin up a story to get investors excited again.

Almost 5 weeks in a row now we’ve stayed within striking distance of that 3 trillion marketcap. A little game of tug of war for bulls and bears to see who wants to make the next big explosive move. I can see both scenarios which makes taking a guess here much more difficult. Either a bounce is coming soon as it’s oversold or the fact that we haven’t bounced yet shows weakness and we finally break the diagonal.

Precious Metals - $SILVER and $GOLD are dominating the precious metals market right now both surging to new all time highs. $SILVER has the more explosive chart right now as retail is piling in as it’s dominating the timeline. There’s still room for it to run but this is where hype chasing can get people in trouble if they aren’t managing risk or setting realistic expectations

Silver: Up over 150% YTD, hitting records above $75/oz, its best year since the 1970s Gold: Up about 70% YTD, breaking $4,500–$4,580/oz

Platinum, palladium, and copper: Also at all-time highs, with double-digit weekly gains in some cases. Selective mining stocks have done well.

Information Technology - As a sector whole it’s up 25% YTD which has outperformed the S&P 500

Communication Services - As a sector up 20 to 34% YTD mostly caused by digital platforms and more AI adoption

No new trades until 2026

$XRP - UPDATE - ETF inflows still over a billion dollars and it seems institutions are more interested than retail. The Gold and Silver trades seem to be sucking out some liquidity but it’s still hovering around some important demand zones. Stops now added at $1.82.

Closed Trades

$UNI - Closed at 34%

$ROSE - Stopped out at -20%

$CRV - Stopped out at -23%

TRACKING WITH GURU

$COR and $BERRY up on the week but $GURU just gave back the gains it created. $ETH still chopping so no significant moves onchain.

$COR, $BERRY, $PAPPLE, $PROOF and $GURU

Nothing substantial this week other than possibly getting more information from the FOMC minutes being shared. January 1st is a holiday so stocks will be closed. Hopefully look to see the Santa rally carry us through another “holiday” week to finish off the year strong.

$TGT added back this week

OPEN TRADES

$FLNC - Currently up 7%, high of 36%

$CROX- Currently up 13.39%, high of 14%

$TGT - Currently up 1.5%, high of 5%

CLOSED TRADES

$SABR - Closed at -11%

$CAN- Closed at 111%

$DRD - Closed at 62%

$ROOT - Closed at -4.5%

$NGVC - Closed at -6.1%

$TGT - Closed at -12%

Starting to see momentum and volume return. Hoping for some big numbers from Holiday shopping and to see a downtrend breakout.

Nice bullish trend continues and looking to rebound with AI and energy plays.

$CROX ( ▲ 0.12% ) (Crocs) - Now up 13% and getting much closer to the target. Break this resistance and $95 should come quickly.

No episode this week

All charts were created using TradingView

The DailyTradr

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