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Announcements

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Last Week in Crypto

  • After 5 months of red monthly candles and almost 7 red weekly candles Bitcoin finishes with a strong weekly green candle

  • Bitcoin with 3 to 5% gains, pushing higher but retracing some holding above $71k now

  • Fear and Greed still in extreme fear but back up to the teens not single digits

  • Strong Bitcoin ETF inflows of 568 to 1.1 billion

  • Overall a stronger week in crypto then we’ve seen in a long time

Last Week in Stocks

  • S&P 500 closes down on the week about 1.3 to 1.6%

  • Dow Jones declines 1.8% to 2%

  • Energy still led the gains with some defensive stocks doing well

  • OIL prices remain volatile with closure of the Strait of Hormuz

  • Unemployment numbers were fine but GDP was sluggish

  • VIX volatility index a massive pump Monday but has come down since

Opinion on Markets: In arguably one of the more difficult weeks for stocks we saw incredible strength from crypto. A lot of the pain and selling has already happened for crypto so as the markets remain numb it actually starts to favor buyers showing up. Stocks trading on multiple things, fears of stagflation and geopolitical concerns with the price of OIL causing concerns.

Bitcoin

The squiggles continue to show strength, OBV finally pushing up, and the next milestone now is to flip that SuperTrend bullish. That’s where I start to get excited again. Strong weekly candle helps the chances of Bitcoin finishing the month of March green.

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Ethereum

SuperTrend remains the tough obstacle for it to overcome. Ethereum Foundation selling doesn’t help but just like Bitcoin a strong week none the less.

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Total Crypto Market Cap

The two most important lines in crypto. We flip and close above both of these, it will be really hard to remain being bullish.

🔥 What’s hot this week

Energy - $XLE on it’s 12th straight green week in a row. On an absolutely wild run

Defensive Plays - Still a good week but nothing too insane

Fertilizer (New) - Urea shortages and price demand is driving up some fertilizer plays

Utilities - Still slowly grinding up

Crypto to watch

Back to seriously charting crypto again. A lot of charts starting to show potential entries for upside. Good chance by the next newsletter there’s another trade.

$CHZ - Conditions can change almost overnight. For the first time in a while I’m thinking we can start seeing some volume and liquidity return to crypto.

Closed Trades

$XRP - Stopped at -12%

$UNI - Closed at 34%

$ROSE - Stopped out at -20%

$CRV - Stopped out at -23%

On-chain Projects

TRACKING WITH GURU

$COR wining the week again but the most surprising and bullish thing right now is to see $ETH stepping up. This is what on chain has been looking and waiting for.

Current Watchlist 5

$COR, $BERRY, $PAPPLE, $PROOF and $GURU

This Week in Stocks

We are back to what should be a very volatile week where we could see a big candle in both directions. FOMC is the biggest and it’s happening during a Triple Witching day on Friday which happens 4 times a year (options and futures expire). No rate cuts expected but will matter is what Powell says as people are starting to fear stagflation. As far as AI goes we have Nvidia’s GPU Technology Conference schedule which is an annual event which can bring a lot of eyes back to AI.

  • FOMC Rate Decision (2PM EST March 18th)

  • PPI - Wholesale inflation (Wednesday March 18th)

  • Micron Earnings $MU (Wednesday March 18th)

  • Triple Witching Friday (Friday, March 20th)

🔥 Stocks to watch

OPEN TRADES

$CAG - Closed at 8%

$USAR - Currently down 34%, high of 8%

$CAG ( ▲ 1.29% ) (ConAgra Brands)

Stopped out at 8%. Bad week for food products as Campbells had a bad earnings and other consumer products took a nose dive. Unfortunate timing with what looked to be a good support and next leg up.

$USAR ( ▲ 7.57% ) (US Rare Earth)

Showing some good support. Happy to be patient on this one and see how the next earnings goes where it’s the first time they are expected to have actual revenue.

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CLOSED TRADES

Win Rate: 66.67%
Average R:R: 5.1:1
Average Win Size: 48%
Average Loss Size: 8.4%

$CAG - Closed at -8%

$TGT - Closed the rest at 16%

$CLX- Closed at 19%

$TGT- Closed half at 19%

$FLNC - Closed at 65%

$FLNC - Closed at 85%

$ROOT - Closed at -4.5%

$CROX - Closed at 6%

$SABR - Closed at -11%

$CAN - Closed at 111%

$DRD - Closed at 62%

$NGVC - Closed at -6.1%

$TGT - Closed at -12%

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